6 Comments

The Russians would likely be willing to give up all kinds of ground as it has worked in the past.

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The US is in the bleed Russia dry phase

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Freedman article is mostly speculation and hopeful thinking. It does not make a very compelling case for what the Ukrainians are currently doing. Both sides will continue to grind each other down, and the butchers bill will get longer and longer.

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Freedman does not a very compelling case for what the Ukrainians are currently doing, to the extent I can discern it.

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You forgot the 4th element: snipe. the Ukrainians' NATO-supplied weapons are constantly sniping Russian hardware, and their partisans are constantly shooting up their fuel trucks. If Russian trucks and tanks have no fuel, then they can't fight a campaign of maneuver, resume the offensive, or shift forces rapidly between north and south. It also means that dispersing ammo/fuel dumps gets harder, offering ideal opportunities to blow up several months' worth of supplies with a few shots. Sniping also is why Russia has lost so many generals and command posts.

The notion that Russia can sustain an attrition campaign forever forgets how they lost against smaller British/French forces (1856), Japan (1905), and Germany (1917). It also ignores how attacks with limited objectives are how the Western Allies beat the Germans in 1918- every bit of land lost to Ukraine is land that has to be retaken in order to win the war.

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There seems to be more wishful thinking than actual thought behind the attacks. It is pretty obvious it is NATO officers who are directing the Uke war effort and it has been pretty well proven that the armies of the west are staffed entirely by gay transsexual retards.

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